College football · NFLTuesday, October 13, 2026
The Upset Report
NFL · 2006 · Week 16 · Sunday, December 24, 2006

Tennessee Titans beat Buffalo Bills, 30–29

The Titans closed as 5.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 31% chance.

Final30–29
Upset size5.5
Chance to win31%
Rank in 200631st of 59

It was the 4th-biggest of 7 NFL upsets in 2006 Week 16, and the 31st-biggest of the 2006 season. Tennessee Titans pulled off 5 other upsets in 2006.

Other NFL upsets in 2006 Week 16

  1. 9-point underdog20% to winRecap
    Upset size9
  2. 6.5-point underdog28% to winRecap
    Upset size6.5
  3. 6-point underdog31% to winRecap
    Upset size6
  4. 4-point underdog35% to winRecap
    Upset size4
  5. 3.5-point underdog36% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5

Tennessee Titans’ other 2006 upsets

  1. Week 1113-point underdog13% to winRecap
    Upset size13
  2. Week 611.5-point underdog15% to winRecap
    Upset size11.5
  3. Week 137.5-point underdog25% to winRecap
    Upset size7.5
  4. Week 124-point underdog35% to winRecap
    Upset size4
  5. Week 153.5-point underdog37% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5

More: Tennessee Titans upsets · Buffalo Bills upsets · all Week 16 upsets · how upset size works