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The Upset Report
NFL · 2016 · Week 16 · Saturday, December 24, 2016

Miami Dolphins beat Buffalo Bills, 34–31

The Dolphins closed as 4.5-point underdogs and won outright in overtime. The betting market gave them a 33% chance.

Final (OT)34–31
Upset size4.5
Chance to win33%
Rank in 201627th of 49

It was the 3rd-biggest of 5 NFL upsets in 2016 Week 16, and the 27th-biggest of the 2016 season. Miami Dolphins pulled off 2 other upsets in 2016.

Other NFL upsets in 2016 Week 16

  1. Arizona Cardinals 34, Seattle Seahawks 31
    9-point underdog23% to winRecap
    Upset size9
  2. San Francisco 49ers 22, Los Angeles Rams 21
    6-point underdog30% to winRecap
    Upset size6
  3. Cleveland Browns 20, San Diego Chargers 17
    4.5-point underdog35% to winRecap
    Upset size4.5
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars 38, Tennessee Titans 17
    4-point underdog36% to winRecap
    Upset size4

Miami Dolphins’ other 2016 upsets

  1. Miami Dolphins 30, Pittsburgh Steelers 15
    Week 67.5-point underdog27% to winRecap
    Upset size7.5
  2. Miami Dolphins 31, San Diego Chargers 24
    Week 104-point underdog35% to winRecap
    Upset size4

More: Miami Dolphins upsets · Buffalo Bills upsets · all Week 16 upsets · how upset size works