College football · NFLTuesday, October 13, 2026
The Upset Report
NFL · 2018 · Week 3 · Sunday, September 23, 2018

Buffalo Bills stun Minnesota Vikings, 27–6

The Bills closed as 16.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 11% chance.

Final27–6
Upset size16.5
Chance to win11%
Rank in 20181st of 46

It was the biggest of 4 NFL upsets in 2018 Week 3, and the biggest of the 2018 season. Buffalo Bills pulled off 2 other upsets in 2018.

Other NFL upsets in 2018 Week 3

  1. 10-point underdog21% to winRecap
    Upset size10
  2. 7-point underdog26% to winRecap
    Upset size7
  3. 6.5-point underdog30% to winRecap
    Upset size6.5

Buffalo Bills’ other 2018 upsets

  1. Week 106.5-point underdog29% to winRecap
    Upset size6.5
  2. Week 56-point underdog29% to winRecap
    Upset size6

More: Buffalo Bills upsets · Minnesota Vikings upsets · all Week 3 upsets · how upset size works