College football · NFLTuesday, October 13, 2026
The Upset Report
NFL · 2021 · Week 1 · Sunday, September 12, 2021

Miami Dolphins beat New England Patriots, 17–16

The Dolphins closed as 3.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 38% chance.

Final17–16
Upset size3.5
Chance to win38%
Rank in 202155th of 58

It was the 5th-biggest of 5 NFL upsets in 2021 Week 1, and the 55th-biggest of the 2021 season. Miami Dolphins pulled off 2 other upsets in 2021.

Other NFL upsets in 2021 Week 1

  1. 6.5-point underdog29% to winRecap
    Upset size6.5
  2. 4-point underdog37% to winRecap
    Upset size4
  3. 3.5-point underdog37% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5
  4. 3.5-point underdog38% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5

Miami Dolphins’ other 2021 upsets

  1. Week 108.5-point underdog23% to winRecap
    Upset size8.5
  2. Week 186-point underdog32% to winRecap
    Upset size6

More: Miami Dolphins upsets · New England Patriots upsets · all Week 1 upsets · how upset size works