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The Upset Report
NFL · 2023 · Week 16 · Sunday, December 24, 2023

New England Patriots upset Denver Broncos, 26–23

The Patriots closed as 7-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 26% chance.

Final26–23
Upset size7
Chance to win26%
Rank in 202314th of 47

It was the 2nd-biggest of 3 NFL upsets in 2023 Week 16, and the 14th-biggest of the 2023 season. New England Patriots pulled off 2 other upsets in 2023.

Other NFL upsets in 2023 Week 16

  1. 11-point underdog18% to winRecap
    Upset size11
  2. 6.5-point underdog26% to winRecap
    Upset size6.5

New England Patriots’ other 2023 upsets

  1. Week 77.5-point underdog23% to winRecap
    Upset size7.5
  2. Week 146-point underdog30% to winRecap
    Upset size6

More: New England Patriots upsets · Denver Broncos upsets · all Week 16 upsets · how upset size works