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The Upset Report
NFL · 2025 · Week 14 · Sunday, December 7, 2025

Houston Texans beat Kansas City Chiefs, 20–10

The Texans closed as 4.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 34% chance.

Final20–10
Upset size4.5
Chance to win34%
Rank in 202535th of 52

It was the 4th-biggest of 4 NFL upsets in 2025 Week 14, and the 35th-biggest of the 2025 season. Houston Texans pulled off 1 other upset in 2025.

Other NFL upsets in 2025 Week 14

  1. New Orleans Saints 24, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20
    7.5-point underdog22% to winRecap
    Upset size7.5
  2. Pittsburgh Steelers 27, Baltimore Ravens 22
    5.5-point underdog30% to winRecap
    Upset size5.5
  3. Tennessee Titans 31, Cleveland Browns 29
    4.5-point underdog36% to winRecap
    Upset size4.5

Houston Texans’ other 2025 upsets

  1. Houston Texans 23, Buffalo Bills 19
    Week 125.5-point underdog31% to winRecap
    Upset size5.5

More: Houston Texans upsets · Kansas City Chiefs upsets · all Week 14 upsets · how upset size works