Atlanta Falcons beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 29–28

The Falcons closed as 6-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 30% chance.

It was the biggest of 3 NFL upsets in 2025 Week 15, and the 19th-biggest of the 2025 season. Atlanta Falcons pulled off 3 other upsets in 2025.

Other NFL upsets in 2025 Week 15

1. Los Angeles Chargers 16, Kansas City Chiefs 13

   5.5-point underdog31% to winRecap
   Upset size5.5
2. Minnesota Vikings 34, Dallas Cowboys 26

   5.5-point underdog30% to winRecap
   Upset size5.5

Atlanta Falcons’ other 2025 upsets

1. Atlanta Falcons 27, Los Angeles Rams 24

   Week 177.5-point underdog24% to winRecap
   Upset size7.5
2. Atlanta Falcons 24, Buffalo Bills 14

   Week 63.5-point underdog36% to winRecap
   Upset size3.5
3. Atlanta Falcons 22, Minnesota Vikings 6

   Week 23.5-point underdog38% to winRecap
   Upset size3.5

More: Atlanta Falcons upsets · Tampa Bay Buccaneers upsets · all Week 15 upsets · how upset size works