College football · NFLTuesday, October 13, 2026
The Upset Report
NFL · 2025 · Week 18 · Sunday, January 4, 2026

Detroit Lions beat Chicago Bears, 19–16

The Lions closed as 3.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 38% chance.

Final19–16
Upset size3.5
Chance to win38%
Rank in 202545th of 52

It was the 3rd-biggest of 4 NFL upsets in 2025 Week 18, and the 45th-biggest of the 2025 season. Detroit Lions pulled off 1 other upset in 2025.

Other NFL upsets in 2025 Week 18

  1. 9.5-point underdog21% to winRecap
    Upset size9.5
  2. 4.5-point underdog34% to winRecap
    Upset size4.5
  3. 3.5-point underdog34% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5

Detroit Lions’ other 2025 upsets

  1. Week 34.5-point underdog32% to winRecap
    Upset size4.5

More: Detroit Lions upsets · Chicago Bears upsets · all Week 18 upsets · how upset size works