NFL · 2026 · Week 4 · Sunday, October 4, 2026

New England Patriots upset Buffalo Bills, 29–26

The Patriots closed as 7-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 26% chance.

Final29–26

Upset size7

Chance to win26%

Rank in 20266th of 16

It was the biggest of 2 NFL upsets in 2026 Week 4, and the 6th-biggest of the 2026 season. It was New England Patriots's only upset win of 2026.

Other NFL upsets in 2026 Week 4

Carolina Panthers 32, Detroit Lions 26
4.5-point underdog34% to winRecap
Upset size4.5