New England Patriots upset Buffalo Bills, 29–26

The Patriots closed as 7-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 26% chance.

All 2026 NFL Week 4 upsets, biggest first

An NFL upset is an underdog getting 3.5 or more points on the closing line winning outright. Upset size is the points it overcame. How it’s scored

1. New England Patriots 29, Buffalo Bills 26

   7-point underdog26% to winRecap
   Upset size7
2. Carolina Panthers 32, Detroit Lions 26

   4.5-point underdog34% to winRecap
   Upset size4.5