Indianapolis Colts upset Houston Texans, 19–16

The Colts closed as 7-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 27% chance.

All 2011 NFL Week 16 upsets, biggest first

An NFL upset is an underdog getting 3.5 or more points on the closing line winning outright. Upset size is the points it overcame. How it’s scored

1. Indianapolis Colts 19, Houston Texans 16

   7-point underdog27% to winRecap
   Upset size7
2. Minnesota Vikings 33, Washington Commanders 26

   6-point underdog30% to winRecap
   Upset size6