College football · NFLTuesday, October 13, 2026
The Upset Report
NFL · 2025 · Week 4 · Sunday, September 28, 2025

Jacksonville Jaguars beat San Francisco 49ers, 26–21

The Jaguars closed as 3.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 38% chance.

Final26–21
Upset size3.5
Chance to win38%
Rank in 202543rd of 52

It was the 2nd-biggest of 2 NFL upsets in 2025 Week 4, and the 43rd-biggest of the 2025 season. Jacksonville Jaguars pulled off 2 other upsets in 2025.

Other NFL upsets in 2025 Week 4

  1. 6-point underdog29% to winRecap
    Upset size6

Jacksonville Jaguars’ other 2025 upsets

  1. Week 163.5-point underdog39% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5
  2. Week 53.5-point underdog36% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5

More: Jacksonville Jaguars upsets · San Francisco 49ers upsets · all Week 4 upsets · how upset size works