Jacksonville Jaguars beat Kansas City Chiefs, 31–28

The Jaguars closed as 3.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 36% chance.

It was the 6th-biggest of 6 NFL upsets in 2025 Week 5, and the 51st-biggest of the 2025 season. Jacksonville Jaguars pulled off 2 other upsets in 2025.

Other NFL upsets in 2025 Week 5

1. San Francisco 49ers 26, Los Angeles Rams 23

   8.5-point underdog22% to winOTRecap
   Upset size8.5
2. Tennessee Titans 22, Arizona Cardinals 21

   7.5-point underdog22% to winRecap
   Upset size7.5
3. New England Patriots 23, Buffalo Bills 20

   7.5-point underdog23% to winRecap
   Upset size7.5
4. Denver Broncos 21, Philadelphia Eagles 17

   3.5-point underdog34% to winRecap
   Upset size3.5
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38, Seattle Seahawks 35

   3.5-point underdog38% to winRecap
   Upset size3.5

Jacksonville Jaguars’ other 2025 upsets

1. Jacksonville Jaguars 34, Denver Broncos 20

   Week 163.5-point underdog39% to winRecap
   Upset size3.5
2. Jacksonville Jaguars 26, San Francisco 49ers 21

   Week 43.5-point underdog38% to winRecap
   Upset size3.5

More: Jacksonville Jaguars upsets · Kansas City Chiefs upsets · all Week 5 upsets · how upset size works